fbpx

Malaysian election possibly thwarts China’s One Belt One Road progress

Malaysia was the 4th largest destination for Chinese investment in 2017 with numerous port and rail projects on the docket for development.

SUMMARY

As of May 29, following criticism over the recent years that Malaysian Prime Minister Najib Razak’s administration had allowed Beijing too much influence in agreeing to China’s One Belt One Road Initiative (BRI) projects, Mahathir Mohamad of Pakatan Harapan, an opposition party, won the early May election in a huge upset. There is a great deal of uncertainty over how the new prime minister plans to deal with Chinese investment in the future and Mohammad has promised to rework old agreements after accusing the old administration of giving preferential treatment to Chinese investors. The $13 billion, 430 mile long East Coast Rail Link, built by China Communications Construction, was one of the bigger targets of criticism for waste with concerns over inflated prices and questions of the project’s usefulness to Malaysia. As of May 2018, it was 20% finished. Malaysia was the 4th largest destination for Chinese investment in 2017 with numerous port and rail projects on the docket for development.

FAO GLOBAL ASSESSMENT

In addition to bad news for investors looking to profit from Chinese BRI projects in Malaysia, the election results also call into question how tenuous the initiative projects might be in other democratic countries. Investors looking to take advantage of the new railway should first wait and see how the new PM decides to handle business with China. The existing contract to complete the railroad does have a cancellation provision, albeit a costly one, that could result in the project never being finished.

Related Links

  1. The Diplomat — What’s Next for Malaysia-China Relations After the 2018 Elections?
  2. Forbes — How Malaysia Became a ‘Model’ For China’s Overseas Economic Expansion
  3. CNBC — The shocking Malaysian election result could hit Chinese investments

Analyst Bio

Adriana Ray - Asia Policy Analyst

Adriana Ray is an Asia Policy Analyst at FAO Global where she researches and writes on Economic, Security, and Political issues in the region. Adriana speaks Mandarin Chinese and is very active in policy research and analysis. Adriana is currently a graduate student at Georgetown University’s School of Foreign Service where she is pursuing a Masters in International Security. She is also an alum of Tsinghua University and Furman University.

Custom Intelligence Briefs are available for corporate account holders. We can provide daily or weekly updates on local market conditions, policy impacts, regional events, or industry changes that affect operations or strategy.

 

ABOUT CHINA INTELLIGENCE BRIEFS

The China Intelligence Briefs are the start of a global initiative to provide context and recommendations to businesses, non-profit organizations, and policy makers who are looking for specific examples of opportunity or disruption from global events. While analyzing the macro problems we often identify specific issues that affect our clients and readers. Identifying both opportunities & challenges allow us to better identify solutions at home and abroad for a wide range of disciplines. In addition to the China Intelligence Briefs, we maintain detailed notes from interviews, overseas trips & business missions, conferences, conventions, and private events. We provide access to these notes and other analytical products for clients and paid subscribers.

Headquartered in Washington, DC with Affiliates in China

Our Analysts, Associates, Consultants, and Interns all possess extensive experience in a foreign country and a foreign language capability. Our talent pool includes graduates from the elite Tsinghua University in Beijing, Georgetown University, George Washington University, UC Berkeley, and University of South Carolina. Being based in the Washington, DC Metro Area provides our team the advantage to build relationships with policy makers, foreign diplomats, business leaders, and non-profit groups providing a holistic view of global policy and the impacts to the business community. In addition to being based in the Washington, DC area, we retain the input and advice from affiliates located in China. This allows us to maintain on-ground awareness of changing business and political environment conditions and facilitate client projects between the two countries and the greater Asia continent.

All Intelligence Briefs are reviewed and guided by a Senior Analyst before publication.