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China’s Economy Cooling Down

According a studied released on August 14 by the China National Bureau of Statistics China’s economic growth slowed 5.5%. This rate is lower compared to the first seven months (January through July) of the previous year’s growth. Beijing tried to explain the slow growth by China transitioning from ““high-speed growth” to “high-quality growth,” which was promoted by high tech initiative as part of Beijing’s “Made in China 2025” industrial policy. – Ziqing Zhang

For our assessment on the global impacts on businesses, see our detailed summary and assessment here.

Chinese Currency, Yuan, and Stock Markets Fall in Reaction to the Trade War

On August 6, the Chinese currency, Yuan, and mainland equities declined. While the yuan fell 0.17 percent to 6.8402 Yuan per dollar, the Shanghai Composite Index closed down 1.3 percent at its lowest since February 2016.For US companies heavily reliant on Chinese labor, Southeast Asia could be an alternative choice for relocating factories, temporary or permanent. – Ziqing Zhang

For more on the global impacts on businesses, see our detailed summary and assessment here.

U.S. Announced Investment & Security Funding to Indo-Pacific

On July 30, FAO Global attended the Indo-Pacific Forum held at the U.S. Chamber of Commerce in which U.S. Secretary of State, Mike Pompeo, announced that the United States will invest $113 million in the Indo-Pacific region to develop technology and infrastructure. This initiative likely intended to counter growing Chinese influence as part of the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). – Ziqing Zhang

For a more detailed summary and our assessment, read more here.

China Intelligence Brief: June 2018

The China Intelligence Briefs are the start of a global initiative to provide context and recommendations to businesses, non-profit organizations, and policy makers who are looking for specific examples of opportunity or disruption from global events. While analyzing the macro problems we often identify specific issues that affect our clients and readers. Identifying both opportunities & challenges allow us to better identify solutions at home and abroad for a wide range of disciplines. In addition to the China Intelligence Briefs, we maintain detailed notes from interviews, overseas trips & business missions, conferences, conventions, and private events.
We provide access to these notes and other analytical products for clients and paid subscribers daily.

Trump’s Trade War with China has started

United States President Donald Trump’s first round of tariff on $34 billion worth of Chinese imports will take effect on Friday, July 6, 2018. The first 25% tariff will impact a variety of products including farm machinery, industrial products, medical devices, automobiles, and aircraft parts. Read a more detailed summary and our assessment here.

Google invests in JD.com to rebuild its presence in China

On June 18, Google announced that it would be investing $550 million in JD.com, also known as Jingdong. JD is China’s biggest e-commerce company and claims net revenue of 100.1 billion Chinese Yuan (16.0 billion USD) in Q1 2018. As per the investment agreement, JD will join the Google Shopping advertising platform and in return, JD will work with Google on other e-commerce projects in Europe, Southeast Asia and the United States. – Ziqing Zhang

China removed missile systems from disputed South China Sea

As of June 6th, images taken in the first week of June show that China has removed or relocated the surface-to-air missile systems from Woody Island, a disputed territory in the South China Sea. Beijing-based naval expert, Li Jie, said that the removal was temporary and for the purpose of maintenance. – Ziqing Zhang

US and China Still Negotiating on Trade

The most recent round of US-China trade talks ended on Sunday, June 3 without any signed trade deals. Some reports earlier this week claimed that China agreed to buy more agricultural products, including soy beans and corn as well as energy products such as natural gas. – Ziqing Zhang

China GDP grows steadily

On May 30, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) stated that China’s GDP enjoyed a 6.8% growth in the first quarter. However, the IMF currently predicts decreasing growth, down to 6.6%, due to the Sino-American trade friction’s potential impact on the country’s trade. – Ziqing Zhang